FuelLink Intelligenceas of 2026 (annual outlook) + Jun 2026 (prices)
LPG desk
Cooking gas is the sector's tightest product and its fastest-growing story: a structural deficit, a one-week buffer, and a policy shift that prioritises domestic use. The desk tracks the numbers that drive it.
Demand (2026)
1.80M t
NUPRC / NALPGAM 2026 outlook, as reported by Vanguard & Legit (2026)
Supply (2026)
1.55–1.65M t
NUPRC / NMDPRA, as reported by Vanguard & Legit (2026)
Annual gap
150–250k t
derived: demand − supply range
National buffer
5 days
NMDPRA fact sheets (national LPG days-of-sufficiency, Oct 2025 sheet)
Price per kg, as reported
2016
₦400/kgbase
2026
₦2,000/kg+400%
5× increase 2016 → 2026, as reported. Points only where sourced — no interpolation.
Market structure
Share of gas output exported62%
Share of Nigeria's gas output exported (2026), as reported
Producer landscape (9)
Dangote (DPRP)NLNGKwaleOlogboPan OceanSeplatPNG GasGreenvilleLPG import terminals
Federal Government directive: domestic LPG consumption takes priority over export; refinery LPG evacuation queues ran ~4x coastal-terminal times during shortage periods.
State retail prices — Jun 2026 (₦/kg)
| State | Max | Min | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lagos | 2,100 | 1,450 | 1,775 |
| Maiduguri | 2,100 | 1,450 | 1,775 |
| Abuja | 2,000 | 1,580 | 1,790 |
| Ibadan | 1,900 | 1,450 | 1,550 |
| Kano | 1,800 | 1,350 | 1,575 |
| Sokoto | 1,800 | 1,500 | 1,650 |
| Enugu | 1,800 | 1,450 | 1,625 |
| Calabar | 1,650 | 1,200 | 1,550 |
Source: NMDPRA fact sheet (Jun 2026) · generated 2026-09-20