Monthly reportdeterministic · NMDPRA-sourced

Nigeria fuel sector in numbers — April 2026

Dangote refinery ran at 99.12% of installed capacity (+5.5 pts MoM). National PMS consumption was 51.1 ML/day — 102% of the NMDPRA 2026 benchmark of 50 ML/day (derived). Full breakdown of Nigeria's downstream sector from the NMDPRA fact sheet.

Generated 2026-09-20 from the NMDPRA fact sheet for April 2026.

This month in numbers

Dangote refinery ran at 99.12% of installed capacity (+5.5 pts MoM).
National PMS consumption was 51.1 ML/day — 102% of the NMDPRA 2026 benchmark of 50 ML/day (derived).
PMS stock sufficiency: 17.7 days including Dangote refinery stock.
PMS import receipts: 3.7 ML/day.
National gas supply: 5.142 Bscf/day.
LPG remains the tightest product: 13 days of national stock.

Refinery output — Dangote (DPRP)

Indicator	2026-04
Utilization	99.12%
Peak utilization	—
PMS production	53.6
PMS domestic supply	40.7
PMS exports	17.1
AGO production	23.6
AGO domestic supply	8
AGO exports	17.8
ATK production	22.9
ATK domestic supply	2.6
ATK exports	20.5
Modular refineries — AGO domestic	0.559

Average daily, ML/day unless noted. Source: NMDPRA fact sheet.

Supply & consumption vs regulator benchmarks

Product	Consumption	Supply (total)	Benchmark
PMS	51.1 ML/d	44.4 ML/d	50 ML/d
AGO	17.3 ML/d	10.2 ML/d	14 ML/d
ATK	2.5 ML/d	2.6 ML/d	3 ML/d
LPG	4.8 kt/d	4.5 kt/d	3.9 kt/d

NMDPRA 2026 daily demand benchmarks shown for reference.

National fuel sufficiency (days of stock)

Product	Days	vs previous month
PMS	17.7	(−3.3 days MoM)
AGO	39	(−16 days MoM)
ATK	70	(−39 days MoM)
LPG	13	(−1 days MoM)

Days the country could coast on existing national stock at the average daily consumption rate.

Includes gross PMS stock at the Dangote refinery (per sheet note). From February 2026 the published basis includes DPRP stock; earlier months exclude it — compare across that boundary with care.

Gas sector

Total gas supplied: 5.142 Bscf/day.
NLNG: 3.129 Bscf/day.
Domestic: 2.012 Bscf/day.
Sectoral split — power 0.549, commercial 0.468, industries 0.671 Bscf/day.

PMS pump prices by state

NFEM average rate used in the computation: ₦1,361.22/USD.
Brent: $120.55/barrel; gasoline benchmark $1,074.97/tonne.

State	Indicative	Max actual	Min actual	Avg actual
Lagos	₦1,284.05	₦1,318	₦1,225	₦1,271.5
Abuja	₦1,333.05	₦1,385	₦1,267	₦1,326
Kano	₦1,360.79	₦1,390	₦1,290	₦1,340
Calabar	₦1,287.66	₦1,333	₦1,259	₦1,296
Sokoto	₦1,357.7	₦1,400	₦1,322	₦1,361
Maiduguri	₦1,377.79	₦1,413	₦1,330	₦1,371.5
Ibadan	₦1,282.79	₦1,326	₦1,244	₦1,285
Enugu	₦1,322.27	₦1,390	₦1,268	₦1,329

NMDPRA indicative price + observed actuals, ₦/litre.

LPG retail prices

LPG national retail range: ₦1,100–₦1,450/kg.

Trade flows & the Lomé question

PMS import receipts: 3.7 ML/day (NMDPRA).
DPRP product exports: PMS 17.1, AGO 17.8, ATK 20.5 ML/day.
Context: S&P Global Commodity Insights (via MEMAN) estimated 70–80% of Nigeria's waterborne fuel "imports" in this period were DPRP product routed via Lomé, Togo.

Sources & method

Every figure in this report is a value published by NMDPRA in the fact sheet above or an attributed market source. Values NMDPRA did not report render as “not reported” (shown as —). Figures labelled “derived” are arithmetic over published values (e.g. month-on-month changes, share of benchmark). This report is generated automatically and is informational; it is not trading advice.

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