Monthly reportdeterministic · NMDPRA-sourced

Nigeria fuel sector in numbers — March 2026

Dangote refinery ran at 93.62% of installed capacity (+15.5 pts MoM). National PMS consumption was 47.3 ML/day — 95% of the NMDPRA 2026 benchmark of 50 ML/day (derived). Full breakdown of Nigeria's downstream sector from the NMDPRA fact sheet.

Generated 2026-09-20 from the NMDPRA fact sheet for March 2026.

This month in numbers

Dangote refinery ran at 93.62% of installed capacity (+15.5 pts MoM).
National PMS consumption was 47.3 ML/day — 95% of the NMDPRA 2026 benchmark of 50 ML/day (derived).
PMS stock sufficiency: 21 days including Dangote refinery stock.
National gas supply: 4.888 Bscf/day.
LPG remains the tightest product: 14 days of national stock.

Refinery output — Dangote (DPRP)

Indicator	2026-03
Utilization	93.62%
Peak utilization	—
PMS production	48.2
PMS domestic supply	34.2
PMS exports	—
AGO production	16.5
AGO domestic supply	2.2
AGO exports	—
ATK production	—
ATK domestic supply	—
ATK exports	—
Modular refineries — AGO domestic	0.629

Average daily, ML/day unless noted. Source: NMDPRA fact sheet.

Supply & consumption vs regulator benchmarks

Product	Consumption	Supply (total)	Benchmark
PMS	47.3 ML/d	not reported ML/d	50 ML/d
AGO	14.5 ML/d	not reported ML/d	14 ML/d
ATK	2.1 ML/d	not reported ML/d	3 ML/d
LPG	5.1 kt/d	not reported kt/d	3.9 kt/d

NMDPRA 2026 daily demand benchmarks shown for reference.

National fuel sufficiency (days of stock)

Product	Days	vs previous month
PMS	21	(−10 days MoM)
AGO	55	(+7 days MoM)
ATK	109	(+36 days MoM)
LPG	14	(−8 days MoM)

Days the country could coast on existing national stock at the average daily consumption rate.

Includes gross PMS stock at the Dangote refinery (per sheet note). From February 2026 the published basis includes DPRP stock; earlier months exclude it — compare across that boundary with care.

Gas sector

Total gas supplied: 4.888 Bscf/day.
NLNG: 3.033 Bscf/day.
Domestic: 1.855 Bscf/day.
Sectoral split — power 0.485, commercial 0.43, industries 0.601 Bscf/day.

PMS pump prices by state

NFEM average rate used in the computation: ₦1,377.61/USD.
Brent: $103.89/barrel; gasoline benchmark $1,046.52/tonne.

State	Indicative	Max actual	Min actual	Avg actual
Lagos	₦1,249.01	₦1,208	₦1,073	₦1,140.5
Abuja	₦1,286.81	₦1,238	₦1,166	₦1,202
Kano	₦1,298.11	₦1,273	₦1,118	₦1,195.5
Calabar	₦1,252.67	₦1,250	₦1,154	₦1,202
Sokoto	₦1,303.52	₦1,305	₦1,148	₦1,226.5
Maiduguri	₦1,317.19	₦1,300	₦1,177	₦1,238.5
Ibadan	₦1,257.07	₦1,238	₦1,146	₦1,192
Enugu	₦1,280.43	₦1,368	₦1,172	₦1,270

NMDPRA indicative price + observed actuals, ₦/litre.

LPG retail prices

LPG national retail range: ₦980–₦1,450/kg.

Sources & method

Every figure in this report is a value published by NMDPRA in the fact sheet above or an attributed market source. Values NMDPRA did not report render as “not reported” (shown as —). Figures labelled “derived” are arithmetic over published values (e.g. month-on-month changes, share of benchmark). This report is generated automatically and is informational; it is not trading advice.

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