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Monthly reportdeterministic · NMDPRA-sourced

Nigeria fuel sector in numbers — February 2026

Dangote refinery ran at 78.13% of installed capacity (+16.9 pts MoM). National PMS consumption was 56.9 ML/day — 114% of the NMDPRA 2026 benchmark of 50 ML/day (derived). Full breakdown of Nigeria's downstream sector from the NMDPRA fact sheet.

Generated 2026-09-20 from the NMDPRA fact sheet for February 2026.

This month in numbers

Refinery output — Dangote (DPRP)

Indicator2026-02
Utilization78.13%
Peak utilization—
PMS production—
PMS domestic supply36.5
PMS exports—
AGO production—
AGO domestic supply8.2
AGO exports—
ATK production—
ATK domestic supply—
ATK exports—
Modular refineries — AGO domestic—

Average daily, ML/day unless noted. Source: NMDPRA fact sheet.

Supply & consumption vs regulator benchmarks

ProductConsumptionSupply (total)Benchmark
PMS56.9 ML/d39.6 ML/d50 ML/d
AGO20.3 ML/dnot reported ML/d14 ML/d
ATK2.9 ML/dnot reported ML/d3 ML/d
LPG4.19 kt/dnot reported kt/d3.9 kt/d

NMDPRA 2026 daily demand benchmarks shown for reference.

National fuel sufficiency (days of stock)

ProductDaysvs previous month
PMS31(−2 days MoM)
AGO48(+14 days MoM)
ATK73(+53 days MoM)
LPG22(+4 days MoM)

Days the country could coast on existing national stock at the average daily consumption rate.

Includes gross PMS stock at the Dangote refinery (per sheet note). From February 2026 the published basis includes DPRP stock; earlier months exclude it — compare across that boundary with care.

Gas sector

  • Total gas supplied: 4.771 Bscf/day.
  • NLNG: 3.018 Bscf/day.
  • Domestic: 1.763 Bscf/day.
  • Sectoral split — power 0.536, commercial 0.44, industries 0.628 Bscf/day.

LPG retail prices

  • LPG national retail range: ₦980–₦1,500/kg.

Trade flows & the Lomé question

  • PMS import receipts: 3 ML/day (NMDPRA).

Sources & method

Every figure in this report is a value published by NMDPRA in the fact sheet above or an attributed market source. Values NMDPRA did not report render as “not reported” (shown as —). Figures labelled “derived” are arithmetic over published values (e.g. month-on-month changes, share of benchmark). This report is generated automatically and is informational; it is not trading advice.

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